How to design a Solar PV system (Estimation of net monthly insolation)

blog_top-image_Solar-Panels-Sunset

Solar power is one of the most accessible renewable energy sources in our planet. Also it is the most abundant source of energy, delivering about 173,000 Terrawats on Earth every second. This power is more than 10,000 times the total demand in our plant. Primary objective of this article is to estimate the net monthly insolation for any place on earth. Designing the solar system is published in a separate article.

Amount of Solar irradiance falling on a unit surface area (W/m^2) is depending Sun’s position at that time.

Sun’s position 

Sun’s position in any time is given by two angles Altitude angle (β) and Azimuth angle (φs)

Altitude angle

Is the angle between the sun and the local horizon directly beneath the sun.

al

Azimuth angle 

Is the angle between local horizon beneath the sun and due South. Azimuth angle towards East are taken positive while towards West are negative.

2

 

Calculation of Azimuth and Altitude angles 

In order to calculate Altitude and azimuth angles, we need to know solar declination angle, latitude angle and hour angle.

Solar declination angle δ

is the angle between the light rays from the Sun and the Earth’s equator.

3

Solar declination angle can be calculated using the following equation

δ=23.45*Sin(360/365 (n-81))

Where n is the number of days from the beginning of the year. Jan 1st – n=1, Dec 31st – n= 365

Solar declination angle for 21st of Each month

Date

δ
21st of Jan -20.1
21st of Feb -11.2
21st of Mar 0 (equinox)
21st of Apr 11.6
21st of May 20.1
21st of Jun 23.4
21st of Jul 20.4
21st of Aug 11.8
21st of Sep 0(equinox)
21st of Oct -11.8
21st of Nov -20.4
21st of Dec -23.3

In this calculation, solar declination angle is assumed to be constant throughout the month. Although for the actual case, it changes each and every day.

 

Latitude angle

Is the line joining any position on surface of earth to the center of the earth is tilted above the equator.

4

Hour angle

The angle by which the earth must rotate before the Sun will be over the local meridian. Earth is rotating 15 degrees in every hour. Therefore hour angle can be calculates as,

H=15˚×hours before solar noon.

Here solar noon time can be assumed as 12 noon. But the actual value is a little more or less.

Following example shows real values of Solar noon time for the month of September 2019 for Colombo, Sri Lanka.

 Date Time (hours)
0 12:10 (88.6°)
1 12:10 (88.9°)
2 12:10 (89.3°)
3 12:09 (89.7°)
4 12:09 (90.0°)
5 12:09 (89.6°)
6 12:08 (89.2°)
7 12:08 (88.8°)
8 12:08 (88.5°)
9 12:07 (88.1°)
10 12:07 (87.7°)
11 12:07 (87.3°)
12 12:06 (86.9°)
13 12:06 (86.6°)
14 12:05 (86.2°)
15 12:05 (85.8°)
16 12:05 (85.4°)
17 12:04 (85.0°)
18 12:04 (84.6°)
19 12:04 (84.3°)
20 12:03 (83.9°)
21 12:03 (83.5°)
22 12:03 (83.1°)
23 12:02 (82.7°)
24 12:02 (82.3°)
25 12:02 (81.9°)
26 12:01 (81.5°)
27 12:01 (81.1°)
28 12:01 (80.8°)
29 12:00 (80.4°)

Calculation of hour angle from 6 a.m to 6 p.m assuming solar noon is at 12 noon.

Time Hours before solar noon Hour angle
6 a.m 6 90
7 a.m 5 75
8 a.m 4 60
9 a.m 3 45
10 a.m 2 30
11 a.m 1 15
12 noon 0 0
1 p.m. 1 -15
2 p.m. 2 -30
3 p.m. 3 -45
4 p.m. 4 -60
5 p.m. 5 -75
6 p.m. 6 -90

Altitude angle and azimuth angle can be calculated using Solar declination angle, latitude angle and hour angle.

Sinβ=CosLCosδCosH+SinLSinδ

Sin(φ)=(CosδSinH)/Cosβ

Since there are two values for inverse of sin, respective angle is selected from the following condition,
if CosH > tanδ/tanL, then |∅| < 90 , if not |∅|>90

Following tables shows calculated values for altitude angle and azimuth angle for a location of 6.9 degrees latitude (a place in Sri Lanka).

Date Time Altitude angle (β) Azimuth angle (φs)
21st of Jan 6 a.m. -2.37 69.99623435
7 a.m. 11.53 67.75164235
8 a.m 25.13 63.90791742
9 a.m. 38.15 57.58552483
10 a.m. 49.98 46.88812
11 a.m. 59.20 28.32944323
12 a.m. 62.96 0
1 p.m. 59.20 -28.32944323
2 p.m. 49.98 -46.88812
3 p.m. 38.15 -57.58552483
4 p.m. 25.13 -63.90791742
5 p.m. 11.53 -67.75164235
6 p.m. -2.37 -69.99623435

Accordingly we can calculate values of latitude and azimuth for 21st of each month.

Sunpath diagram

When we plot altitude against azimuth for different days of month, we get a diagram called Sunpath diagram.

sri lanka
Sunpath diagram for a location in Sri Lanka (L=6.9)
aus
Sunpath diagram for a position in Australia (L=-25)
uk
Sunpath diagram for a location in UK (L=52)

Estimation of total clear sky insolation  (W/m^2)

Total clear sky insolation on a collector is depending upon three main radiation factors.

  • Direct beam radiation (Ibh)direct
  • Diffuse beam radiation (Idh)diffuse
  • Reflected beam radiation (Irh)ref

Total clear sky insolation on a tilted collector is given by following equation.

I(horizontal) = Idh + Ibh + Irh

Total clear sky insolation on a horizontal collector is given by following equation.

I(horizontal) = Idh + Ibh

In order to estimate these three components, we need to know following factors.

Extraterrestrial flux (A)

The extra-terrestrial flux is the value of solar power ‘intensity’ expressed in watts per meter square which is incident on the earth but does not face any disturbance from the Earth’s atmosphere.

A= 1160 + 75*sin((360/365)*(n-275))

Value of A for 21st of Each Month

Date A (W/m^2)
21st of Jan 1230
21st of Feb 1215
21st of Mar 1186
21st of Apr 1136
21st of May 1104
21st of Jun 1088
21st of Jul 1085
21st of Aug 1107
21st of Sep 1151
21st of Oct 1192
21st of Nov 1221
21st of Dec 1233

Optical depth (k)

Is the absorption coefficient of solar radiation by the atmosphere. K is a dimensionless constant

k = 0.174+0.035((360/365)*(n-100))

Value of k for 21st of Each Month

Date k
21st of Jan 0.142
21st of Feb 0.144
21st of Mar 0.156
21st of Apr 0.18
21st of May 0.196
21st of Jun 0.205
21st of Jul 0.207
21st of Aug 0.201
21st of Sep 0.177
21st of Oct 0.16
21st of Nov 0.149
21st of Dec 0.142

Air mass ration (m)

The air mass coefficient defines the direct optical path length through the Earth’s atmosphere, expressed as a ratio relative to the path length vertically upwards, i.e. at the zenith.

m = (1/sinβ)

Sky diffusion factor (C)

Solar radiation is diffused by molecules in the atmosphere. This is a dimensionless constant.

C=0.095+0.04*sin((360/365)*(n-100))

Value of C for 21st of Each Month

Date c
21st of Jan 0.058
21st of Feb 0.06
21st of Mar 0.071
21st of Apr 0.097
21st of May 0.121
21st of Jun 0.134
21st of Jul 0.136
21st of Aug 0.122
21st of Sep 0.092
21st of Oct 0.073
21st of Nov 0.063
21st of Dec 0.057

Total insolation on a tilted collector (W/m^2)

When the collector surface is inclined by an angle Σ, faced towards an azimuth angle of Φc, total insolation (direct + diffuse + reflected) on the collector is given by the following equation.

I = Ae^(-km) {(Cosβ*Cos(φs-φc)*SinΣ+Sinβ*CosΣ+C*((1+CosΣ)/2)+ρ*(sinβ+C)*((1-CosΣ)/2)}

itotl
Here ρ is the reflectance coefficient of the surface which the solar panels are mounted. It can vary from 0.1 to 0.8.

For an asbestos roof, ρ is approximately 0.1. normal ground/grass = 0.2, snow = 0.8

Total insolation on a horizontal collector (W/m^2)

Direct beam radiation for a horizontal collector is given by

Idh = A*exp(-k*m) * Sinβ

Diffuse beam radiation for a horizontal collector is given by

Idh = A*exp(-k*m) * C

Therefore total insolation (Ibh+Idh) on a horizontal collector is given by

I = A*exp(-k*m) ( Sinβ + C)

Daily insolation (kWh/m^2/day)

Daily insolation is calculated by taking the sum of hour by hour insolation throughout the day.

Sample calculation – Following example shows sample calculation of daily insolation for 21st of January for a tilted surface of 6.9 degrees and oriented towards due south (0 orientation).

daily

Accordingly, daily insolation was calculated for 21st of each month for 6.9 degrees tilt angle and 0 degrees orientation. Results are shown in the following table.

dailyyear

Estimation of net monthly insolation by considering shading factor (kWh/m^2/month)

For this approximation, daily insolation is assumed to be constant throughout the month. Also, by considering average number of rainy days per month, insolation is assumed to be dropped by 50% on a rainy day.

Month Average rainy days
Jan 7
Feb 4
Mar 8
Apr 14
May 16
Jun 14
Jul 11
Aug 9
Sep 13
Oct 19
Nov 16
Dec 10

Following example shows a sample calculation for January.

For a tilt of 7 degrees and facing due south.

Daily clear sky insolation = 7.9 kWh/m^2/day

Average number of rainy days = 7

Number of clear sky days = 31-7 = 24

Net monthly insolation = 7.9 * 24 + 7.9*7*0.5 = 217.27 kWh/m^2/month

Accordingly, net monthly insolation was approximated for each month. Results are

shown below.

netmonth

 

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